Used vehicle prices expected to continue to stabilize in 2025 after pandemic volatilityIn 2025, used vehicle prices are expected to stabilize due to improved new car production, easing supply chain disruptions, and increased availability of semiconductors. These factors will boost new vehicle inventories, reducing pressure on the used car market. Additionally, easing inflation and potential interest rate cuts are likely to enhance consumer purchasing power, making financing more affordable and influencing demand across the automotive market. As competition in the electric vehicle (EV) sector intensifies and consumer preferences shift toward fuel-efficient and eco-friendly options, prices for traditional combustion engine vehicles may decline, further balancing the market. Together, these economic and market dynamics are poised to create a more stable pricing environment for used vehicles. |
The Advanced News January 2025
The Advanced News December 2024
The Advanced News November 2024
It is that time of year for all of us to go out and perform our civic duty by voting. Taking part in our democracy is a gift, and unfortunately, many Americans do not take part for a variety of reasons. These elections should remind us of those who have made the ultimate sacrifice defending our democracy, and therefore our ability to take part in free and fair elections. Please visit https://vote.gov/ to make sure you know how and where to vote in your state. Many of us are excited for the elections to be over. If you live in a swing state, we are certain you are tired if seeing attack ad, after attack ad. Another reason to be excited about November 5th being behind us is that the economy, specifically retails sales, generally hit a stagnant period around elections. The majority in our industry are optimistic about the increase in sales volume we should see post-election cycle. For most dealers, 2024 has proven to be a difficult year. Sales volume, and gross profit have declined especially within certain manufactures. As some dealers feel pressure on volume and profit, their focus has shifted to F&I and fixed ops. We at ADS have stepped up and responded to the challenge. Our dealers are experiencing strong, if not record F&I results and our roll-out of Repaired Forever has proven to help drive additional service sales and an added profit center. Moving into the holidays, let us reflect on what we are thankful for and what the holiday season means to each of us. Good luck and Good selling to all of you! Sincerely, Newsworthy Items: |
View the full newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/advdealer.com/november-newsletter-4vmogzv35y-17464034
The Advanced News October 2024
Trick or Treat?
Here are just a few of the bigger questions out there…
Will the interest rate cuts accelerate, or slow car sales?
Will the election breed confidence or fear into the markets?
Will the juxtaposition on EV’s cause more manufactures to transition away from the segment?
Will the market look more reasonable in terms of Blue Sky in 2025?
What is the turnaround time for Stellantis?
All of these are good, legitimate questions and depending on how they are answered could drastically change how the industry’s future unfolds.
As our team crisscrosses the country speaking with dealers and other industry leaders, one thing we have learned for sure; we are past the COVID days of volume and profits. Dealers are working to find new ways to add gross profit, new ways to compete for customers, and new ways to train (and in some cases, retrain) their staff. The good news is, we at ADS have the solutions.
Even though the industry has seen decreases in F&I profitability, our dealers are still holding strong, and even seeing increases. Our dealers are adding Repaired Forever (see below) as a new profit center to their dealerships, and are utilizing ADS and its decades of retail experience to help their teams continue to grow and thrive!
Good luck and good selling to all of you!
Sincerely,
Bob and Ryan
IN THE NEWS
Why the Fed’s rate cut won’t immediately help car buyers or sales
Carmakers Scale Down Electrification Plans as EV Demand Slows
Jeep CEO enacts turnaround plan after significant sales declines
High interest rates, prices, continue to stall sales
Toyota cuts 2026 global EV output plans by a third, Nikkei reports
Predictions For 2025: Automakers Buckle Under Pressure From Consumers
EVENTS WE WILL BE ATTENDING
Live2Lead – https://www.eventbrite.com/e/live2lead-cleveland-tickets-937395323647?aff=oddtdtcreator
RVDA – https://www.rvda.org/Convention
F&I Product and Reinsurance Conference – https://www.fandi-conference.com/
View the full newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/advdealer.com/november-newsletter-4vmogzv35y-17464034
The Advanced News September 2024
The Advanced News August 2024
August is a big month for us here at Advanced Dealer Solutions, as we are celebrating our 10-year anniversary!
In 2014, Bob felt dealers needed an independent advocate working tirelessly on their behalf. Not just with income development, but claims management, loss ratios, reinsurance results, capital to fund acquisitions, and so on. Dealers didn’t need another person working for vertically integrated company, somebody reporting up to a private equity firm, or someone being mandated sales goals from a corporate tower. Dealers needed an unbiased company whose primary goals were to exceed the dealer’s goals and objectives.
That independent, unbiased spirit remains at the core of who we are and what we do. We work for our dealers, PERIOD! Throughout these past 10 years, we have achieved tremendous success in collaboration with our dealers and product partners, more than most people could have imagined.
Although we may be celebrating our 10-year anniversary, we are just getting started and I assure you, you ain’t seen nothing yet!
To infinity and beyond…
Good luck and good selling to all of you!
Sincerely,
Bob and Ryan
IN THE NEWS
CarShield fined $10 million for deceptive advertising charges
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace Expected to Rebound After June Disruptions
CrowdStrike sued by shareholders over global outage
Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel says Fed needs to make an emergency rate cut
EVENTS WE WILL BE ATTENDING
NAMAD – https://web.cvent.com/event/edcd733e-ea51-4261-842b-30b68f704934/summary
RVDA – https://www.rvda.org/Convention
F&I Product and Reinsurance Conference – https://www.fandi-conference.com/
Good Luck and Good Selling!
View the full newsletter https://mailchi.mp/advdealer.com/august-newsletter-4vmogzv35y
Auto incentives are back — but high interest rates weaken deals for buyers
KEY POINTS
- Incentives are coming back to the auto market, but interest rates remain high.
- However, car shoppers can still reap the benefits. It will require more research and flexibility.
- “Consumers can find good deals, but you have to go model by model,” said Brian Moody, executive editor at Kelley Blue Book.
Incentives are coming back to the auto market, but high interest rates are weakening those deals for car shoppers.
“Pre-pandemic, people would see a 0% financing for 60 months and think, ‘no big deal,’ because it was available everywhere,” said Jessica Caldwell, an insights analyst at Edmunds, an auto research site.
In today’s market, consumers are more likely to see it as “free money,” she said, especially as auto loan rates stay high.
The average annual percentage rate for a new car loan was 7.1% in the first quarter of 2024, marking the fifth month in a row of rates more than 7%, according to Edmunds.
The APR for used car loans rose 11.7% in the same period, up one-tenth of a percentage point from the prior quarter.
Despite high borrowing costs, car shoppers can still reap some benefits from reintroduced financing offers and other incentives like discounts and dealer cash. But shoppers must to do more research than in that earlier era to find those deals, experts say.
“Consumers can find good deals, but you have to go model by model,” said Brian Moody, executive editor at Kelley Blue Book.
Be cautious about longer loan terms
Financing offers depend in part on the loan term. You might get a better interest rate with a short term, but a lower monthly payment with a long term.
While extending the life of the loan can help shrink monthly costs, you risk owing more than what the car is worth, which can create more financial problems later on, experts say.
“The negative equity situation is real,” Edmunds’ Caldwell said.
Shoppers must be realistic about how long they plan to keep the car, Caldwell explained.
If you’re someone who buys a new car every three to four years, you might end up in a situation when you trade in that your vehicle and is worth less than you owe, she said.
The share of new car purchases in that situation — known as a negative-equity trade-in — rose to 23.1% in the first quarter, according to Edmunds. That’s up from 18.3% from a year ago and 14.7% in the first quarter of 2022.
The average amount of negative equity jumped to an all-time high of $6,167 in the first quarter, researchers found.
When you roll that into your new car loan, it increases your payment.
The average monthly payment for new car shoppers who traded in underwater loans was $887 in the first quarter, according to Edmunds. The average APR was 8.1% for a term length of 75.8 months.
When you’re comparing financing options, instead of only focusing on lowering the monthly payment, be sure to figure out the total interest you will be paying, experts say.
“That’s where you have to be cognizant,” Caldwell said. “Longer loan terms will always look more attractive because they’re more affordable, but that’s really only part of the story.”
According to Moody: “The quicker you pay it off, the less interest you’re paying.”
What to do before you go to the auto dealer
1. Search for available incentives: Car shoppers will have to a do lot more shopping and research to find available incentives, Caldwell said.
“There are deals creeping out there,” she said. “There was a point two years ago where there just wasn’t any; no deals to be had.”
Seek out models that are not in high demand, as automakers and dealers “rarely incentivize popular” models, Moody said.
“There might be cash back or low financing on one type of Ford, but on [another] type, there’s nothing,” Moody said. “It makes it more challenging for consumers because you really have to go and do your research.”
2. Know your credit score: While shoppers might come across 0% financing offers, those deals are often reserved for buyers with excellent credit. Find out what your latest score is to avoid getting stuck into deals you didn’t fully understand, Moody explained.
3. Get pre-qualified for different loans: Shop around for auto loans at different banks or credit unions before going to the dealer, experts say.
That lets you determine what kind of interest rate you’re able to get and compare offers, Moody said.
Don’t limit yourself to comparing the monthly payments. Consider the amount of interest you will be paying over the life of the loan, Caldwell said.
Having these options will also help you negotiate with dealers.
“Always give the dealer the opportunity to beat that deal in terms of interest rate and the loans terms, and oftentimes, they can,” Moody said. “If they can’t, you already have this loan.”
Originally published by CNBC https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/16/despite-auto-incentives-high-interest-rates-weaken-deals-for-buyers.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.microsoft.Office.Outlook.compose-shareextension
Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in April
Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were down in April compared to March. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 198.4, a decline of 14.0% from a year ago. The seasonal adjustment to the index magnified the results for the month, resulting in a 2.3% month-over-month decrease. The non-adjusted price in April decreased by 0.6% compared to March, moving the unadjusted average price down 11.9% year over year.
In April, Manheim Market Report (MMR) values saw weekly decreases that were slightly above long-term averages during each week of the month. Over the last four weeks, the Three-Year-Old Index decreased an aggregate of 1.6%, including a decline of 0.5% in the last week of the month. Those same five weeks delivered an average decrease of 1.0% between 2014 and 2019, illustrating that depreciation trends are currently tracking higher than long-term averages for the year.
Over the month of April, daily MMR Retention, which is the average difference in price relative to the current MMR, averaged 98.3%, meaning market prices fell below MMR values and declined against March as well, which was 99.4%. The average daily sales conversion rate dropped to 59.6%, showing that demand declined relative to March, which is seasonally normal for this time of year. For comparison, the daily sales conversion rate averaged 60.4% in April during the last three years.
The major market segments all experienced seasonally adjusted prices that were down year over year in April. Compared to April 2023, luxury was the only segment that lost less than the industry, down just 12.9%, and SUVs were down a little more than the market, falling by 14.6% year over year. The worst-performing segment was compact cars, down 17.6% against last year, followed by midsize cars, off by 16.8%, with pickups down 15.2%. Compared to last month, the pickup segment fell by just 1.3%, less than the market’s decline of 2.3% for the month. Compact cars fell the most against March, declining by 3.9%, luxury was down 3.2%, SUVs decreased by 3.1%, and midsize cars were down 3.0%.
With the increase in interest in electric vehicle (EV) values versus the non-EV market, we are working on sharing metrics for those segments. Seasonally adjusted EV values for April 2024 were down 17.5%, while non-EVs were down 13.1% year over year. Regarding values against last month, seasonally adjusted EV values declined in line with the market, falling by 2.6% from March 2024, while non-EVs declined 3.0% over the same period.
Retail Used-Vehicle Sales Decreased in April
Assessing retail vehicle sales based on observed changes in units tracked by vAuto, we initially estimate that retail used-vehicle sales in April were down 4% compared to March but higher year over year by 9%. The average retail listing price for a used vehicle was up 2% over the last four weeks.
Using estimates of retail used days’ supply based on vAuto data, an initial assessment indicates April ended at 45 days’ supply, up two days from 43 days at the end of March but down one day from April 2023 at 46 days.
April’s total new-light-vehicle sales were down 3.3% from last year, and volume was down 9.1% from March. The April sales pace, or seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), came in at 15.7 million, up just 0.4% from last year and up slightly from March’s 15.6 million level.
Combined sales into large rental, commercial, and government fleets declined 5.6% year over year in April. Including an estimate for fleet deliveries into dealer and manufacturer channels, the remaining retail sales were estimated to be down 1.2% from last year, leading to an estimated retail SAAR of 12.9 million, up 0.2 million from last year’s pace, and up from March’s 12.8 million level. Fleet market share was estimated to be 17.5%, down from last year’s 19.3% share.
Rental Risk Prices Mixed; Mileage Declines Slowed in April
The average price for rental risk units sold at auction in April declined 12.2% year over year. Rental risk prices increased by just 0.2% compared to March. Average mileage for rental risk units in April (at 58,800 miles) continues to be down compared to a year ago but much less than recent periods, declining by only 1.3% against April 2023. Mileage for units in April was up 12.1% from March.
All Measures of Consumer Confidence Saw Declines in April
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined 5.9% in April, as views of both the present situation and the future declined. As a result of the decline, consumer confidence was down 6.5% year over year. Plans to purchase a vehicle in the next six months declined but remained higher year over year. According to the sentiment index from the University of Michigan, consumer sentiment declined 2.8% in April but was up 21.2% year over year. The median consumer expectation for inflation in a year jumped to 3.2%, its highest level since November, and the expectation for five years increased to 3.0%, which was also the highest since November. The consumer’s view of buying conditions for vehicles declined to the lowest level since December as views of both interest rates and prices deteriorated. The daily index of consumer sentiment from Morning Consult was very volatile in April and ended up declining by 1.6% for the month, leaving the index up by 7.3% year over year. Gas prices increased in April. The national average price for unleaded gas from AAA increased 3.6% from the end of March to $3.66 per gallon, which was up 2% year over year.
Link to the full article https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/april-2024-muvvi/
The Advanced News
June 2024 |
A Message From The ADS Team We hope you all had a fantastic Memorial Day Weekend and found time to enjoy the sun, lake, pool, or BBQ with friends and family. Equally, we sincerely hope the tragic storms that wreaked havoc across the country over the last couple weeks steered clear of you, your families and your dealerships. This is always an exciting time of year for the ADS team. As the country celebrates the unofficial start to summer, we celebrate the official start to prime selling season for the dealers we are fortunate to work with and support. By all accounts, sales, as a whole, continue to meet or exceed expectations. Although many prognosticators predicted the downfall in F&I performance during the post COVID era, we at ADS, are honored to say our stores are holding pace, and even setting new records in PVR and PPRU. There are many contributing factors to this, but the basis is our incredibly talented team, our unique F&I sales process, and the support and accountability we provide our stores. If you are interested in learning how to improve your F&I process, profitability, reinsurance performance, etc. please contact us to see if we are the fit you are looking for. Sincerely, Bob and Ryan IN THE NEWS Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices Decline in April PERSONAL FINANCE Auto incentives are back — but high interest rates weaken deals for buyers US Economic Outlook May 2024 Why Dealer’s Switch from DOWC’s to ARC’s What Does Gen Z Want in F&I Products? EVENTS WE WILL BE ATTENDING NAMAD – https://web.cvent.com/event/edcd733e-ea51-4261-842b-30b68f704934/summary RVDA – https://www.rvda.org/Convention F&I Product and Reinsurance Conference – https://www.fandi-conference.com/ Good Luck and Good Selling! View our full newsletter https://mailchi.mp/advdealer.com/june-newsletter-6oe2lwzsev |